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Taiwan can’t gamble on cros小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音s-Straits crisis


Taiwan authorities claimed that People's Liberation Army (PLA) fighter jets crossed the so-called "middle line" of the Taiwan Straits at Sunday noon. Will the Straits situation reach a new stage? Possibly, but not necessarily.

台湾军方称解放军战机星期天正午时分飞越了所谓“海峡中线”,台海形势会翻开新的一页吗?有或许,但也纷歧女司机贴字条卖萌定。

First, the "middle line" is fictitious and psychological comfor方天荫t to the Taiwan authorities. The Chinese mainland has never recognized it. Moreover, the two sides across the Straits probably have different definitions of the "middle line." Hen生殖器纹身ce, even if PLA fighter jets did cross it, how the situation develops depends on Taiwan and US reactions.

首要,“海峡中线”是一条设想的心理线,大陆从未承认过它,并且两边对这条中线的了解和知道也未必共同。所以即便台方所通报的军情是真的,它也可大可小,全看美台两边下一步作何反响。

Washington has gone too far by sending warships to sail through the Straits thrice this year. Many people tended to think the PL黄瑞纲A's move was a response to recent provocations by Taiwan and the US. If they restrain themselves, the crossing of PLA fighter jets over the "middle line" will be nothing seriomisleus. However, if the two continue to make provocative moves, the cross-Straits situation is 丁汉白bound lzh134289to become more uncertain.

美台勾结在加重,美国军舰今年以来三过台湾海峡,这很过火。很多人都倾向于以为,军机强势过中线,这是大陆对美台近期寻衅的回应。假设美台从此收敛些,解放军战机偶过“海峡中线”便是件小事。但假设美台不思收敛,反将解放军的这一举动视为寻衅,且进一步示强,那么台海严峻必然加码晋级,走向严峻的不确定性。

The cross-Straits situation is complicated as three sides are 郑兆村involved, while the main players of the game are two of them - Beijing and Washingt小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音on.

台海形势的一个奇妙之处在于,这是个三方格式,中国大陆、美国还有台湾,但它的首要博弈方又是北京和华盛顿这两方。

Taiwan's rea小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音l interest is long-term peace, which is always marginalized by the politics in the island. Some politicians in Taiwan prefer to put forward extreme policies to rival the mainland. The preconditions for such measures are peace where wars will not really break out. Taiwan authorities make people bduozouluelieve they fear nothing, but in fact, the island cannot withstand the cross-Straits situation going toward deep turmoil.

台湾的真实利益是争夺持久平和,但台湾的推举政治一场错爱到白头常常会被极点实力挟制,将这一利益挤到边际方位,而把与大陆对立的极点道路推到前台。这种道路的条件是平和的巩固牢靠,由于战役的风险不会真的到来,所以台湾当局能够耍弄什么都不怕的姿势。但其实台当局是怕的,由于整个台湾社会对台海地小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音区走向深度动乱的承受力很低。

China and the US are big countries who can afford military frictions in certain areas. But for the island, it won't be that simple.

中美是两个大国,关于部分呈现军事不友好的状况并不很在乎。但台湾就纷歧样了。

If the fighter jets of the PLA and the US Air Force have an encounter in the skies over Taiwan, it will have a strong psychological impact on Taiwan people. The mainland could also retaliate against US moves in the region.

假设美国军机在台海上空呈现,解放军的战机升空,两边空军在台海上空大搞假搏斗扮演,最受不了的将是台湾人的心脏。大陆到时还必然报复美方在台海军事活动的晋级。

Recently, Chinese mainland scholars have been engaged in a broader discussion on how to cope with the growing provocations from the is何亮平land and the US. More and more people suggest PLA fighter jets fly over the island.

近来大陆学界在越来越敞开地评论怎么抵挡美台寻衅晋级,解放军派战机飞越台湾岛的选项被更多的人提及。

As cross-Straits military tensions intensif柜子壁橱门板y, the probability of occasional military frictions or limited military conflicts will rise. It's possible that the fighter jet will be shot down in a military cl玩奴微博ash, or PLA conducts ta小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音rgeted elimination at certain military base on the island that could threaten the mainland.

跟着台海军事严峻加重,发作偶发性军事冲突或许有限军事冲突的或许性将会添加。比方两边战机交火并有飞机被击落,定点铲除对大陆构成威胁的某个台军基地,这些或许性在未来都无法彻底扫除。

Does this mean China暗黑之永存毅力 is about to resolve the Taiwan question using military means? Not necessarily. A peaceful reuni佟丽娅性感fication is the mainland's basic policy toward the island. But it 北京太平间守夜员急招doesn't mean giving up using military forces.

这是要武力处理台湾问题吗?并非。平和统一是大陆的根本对台方针,但平和统一不意味着军事上一点都不能动。

We don't need a real war to resolve the Taiwan question. The mainland can adopt various measures to make Taiwan ruled by the Democ小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音ratic Progressive Party (DPP) turn into a Lebanon situation, which "Taiwan independence" forces cannot afford.

别的,台海问题不需要经过一场真实的战役来处理,但大陆能够有各种手法将民进党控制的台湾“黎巴嫩化”,给予“台独”实力无法承受的冲击。

If Washington sends wrong signals that lead to continuously escalating tensions in the region, it would be a nightmare for Taiwan authorities. If the DPP puts the island in the middle of a high-level military storm, can it sustain the rule?

假设美国宣布过错信号,导致台海军事严峻不断晋级,咱们信任它终将成为台湾当局的一场噩梦。假设民进党将台湾面向高等级军事对立的电闪雷鸣中,到时还能在台上坐得住吗?

Once the 小鸡模拟器,一旦军事严峻失控,台湾当局必先怂,配音cross-Straits crisis gets out of control, the Chinese mainland is capable of fighting to the end, while both the island and the US have something to worry about. The DPP fears that it would lose its power. Washington doesn't want to be involved in another major war and is also concerned that Taiwan people will no longer accept its support.

所以说,一旦台海危机失控,大陆方面有满足的毅力和本钱拼到底,而美台两边都有各自的忌惮。民进党怕政权不保,华盛顿则既怕真的卷进一场大战,又怕台湾民意厌恶动乱而不再承受美国的支撑。

Taiwan and the US must restrain themselves as the cross-Straits crisis has already turned into a gamble they canno菇娘图片t afford.

咱们最终想说的是,美台有必要抑制,由于台海危机已经是它们玩不起的一场赌博乳照。


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